Only 64 of Every 100 Colorado Listings Actually Close

By Greg Smith

ColoradoHomeSource represents the region’s finest properties with exceptional skill, using the most innovative technologies currently available. ColoradoHomeSource offers ultimate privacy, security, speed, and efficiency. The team’s years of full-time experience have given them a clear understanding of the mindset of home buyers and sellers and a thorough understanding of the regional marketplace.

We just got through the midpoint of the year, and today we want to share the real numbers, the ones straight from the MLS, and what the market is telling us after six months in 2026. Because what’s happening right now might be quite different than what you’re reading in the headlines.

Start with the supply. New listings across the MLS are down 4% from the previous year, and in Boulder County, they’re down 12%. Fewer sellers are listing their homes. Some might just not be happy with the numbers they could get in today’s market. Others are really attached to the interest rate they locked in a few years ago when rates were low.

Buyers are showing up anyway. Here’s what makes this unusual. Pending contracts, homes that are going under contract right now, are up 3% MLS-wide in the first half of 2026. In Denver and Jefferson County, pending volume is up 6%. Buyers are active. There are just fewer homes for them to choose from.

The number that tells the real story. In 2021, 91 out of every 100 listings across the MLS closed. So far in 2026, that number is only 64. We have fewer sellers and active buyers, yet only 64% of listings make it to the closing table. The rest are either being pulled from the market or expiring.

Failed listings have nearly quadrupled. MLS-wide, expired listings have gone from about 5,600 in 2021 to over 21,500 last year. That’s nearly four times as many listings failing as four years ago, and that trend has gone in the wrong direction every single year without exception.

Price point changes everything. A well-priced home under $600,000 in Denver or Jefferson County is in a completely different market than a $1.2 million listing with an optimistic seller. One has buyers competing for it. The other sits, accumulates days on market, and eventually expires. The aggregate numbers don’t tell you which market you’re in. Your price point and your area do, which is why what actually sets your home’s price has far more to do with your street than with anything happening statewide.

Jefferson County is the bright spot. Closings are up 5%, pending contracts are up 6%, and 70% of new listings are making it to the closing table. That’s the strongest absorption rate on the Front Range right now.

Denver is showing real improvement. Closings are up 3%, pending volume is up 6%, and 66% of new listings are reaching the closing table.

Boulder County is the cautionary tale. New listings are down 12%; only 63% of new listings make it to the closing table; and expired listings have risen from 332 in 2021 to nearly 1,750 last year. That’s more than five times as many failures in four years.

One important note on all of this. Everything above covers single-family homes only. Condos and townhomes are a completely different story, with distinct inventory, buyer pools, and failure rates. That’s a whole separate video, and one we may share in the future.

Here at Colorado Home Source, we track this data weekly and monthly. If you want to know the numbers for your street, or you’re just thinking about selling or buying a home, give us a call. Call or text us at 303-543-5720, email us at greg@boulderhomesource.com, or visit blogboulderhomesource.com.

We’re happy to help.